Ayr United vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
AYR
2 - 0
STM
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
STR
2 - 0
AYR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
AYR
1 - 2
HAM
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
DUN
6 - 0
AYR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
AYR
1 - 1
RAI
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
STJ
2 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
AIR
0 - 2
STJ
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
RAI
2 - 0
STJ
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1994 |
STR
2 - 2
STJ
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
STJ
1 - 1
CLY
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |