Ayr United vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 1
AYR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AYR
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ICT
3 - 3
AYR
69%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 1
QOS
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
ICT
3 - 1
QOS
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QOS
1 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
QOS
3 - 0
AYR
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
QOS
1 - 2
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |