Ayr United vs Partick Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUN
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
RAI
3 - 3
AYR
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
AYR
4 - 1
STM
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 2
AYR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 0
ROS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
ICT
0 - 1
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
ARB
1 - 0
PAR
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
ICT
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
RAI
2 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |