Ayr United vs Inverness CT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
5º
55
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
50% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
4 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 0
AYR
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
COV
0 - 3
AYR
35%
23%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
ICT
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
ICT
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ICT
0 - 3
HAM
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 3
ICT
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 2
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |