Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
GLA
3 - 1
AYR
71%
17%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
AYR
0 - 1
QOS
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
FAL
2 - 3
AYR
65%
18%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
AYR
0 - 3
RAI
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
AYR
3 - 1
STE
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
HIB
2 - 3
HOM
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
HOM
2 - 2
STM
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
31%
22%
47%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
FAL
1 - 1
HOM
51%
21%
29%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |