Ayr United vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
STI
4 - 2
AYR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
RAI
1 - 0
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
AYR
1 - 2
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PET
3 - 1
AYR
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
RAI
78%
16%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 3
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
FOR
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
CWB
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
STI
2 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |