Second Division Round 26

Ayr United vs East Fife analysis

Ayr United East Fife
61 ELO 50
12.5% Tilt 18.7%
849º General ELO ranking 3135º
14º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
70.4%
Ayr United
18%
Draw
11.6%
East Fife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
Ayr United
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
East Fife
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ayr United
-12%
-3%
East Fife

ELO progression

Ayr United
East Fife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 6
Rangers
GLA
17%
21%
62%
62 78 16 0
03 Feb. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
66%
21%
14%
63 55 8 -1
27 Jan. 2018
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 4
Ayr United
AYR
18%
22%
60%
62 47 15 +1
20 Jan. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
57%
22%
21%
61 56 5 +1
13 Jan. 2018
RAI
Raith Rovers
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
38%
26%
36%
61 59 2 0

Matches

East Fife
East Fife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2018
EAS
East Fife
0 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
66%
20%
14%
52 45 7 0
03 Feb. 2018
STR
Stranraer
0 - 2
East Fife
EAS
58%
22%
20%
50 53 3 +2
27 Jan. 2018
EAS
East Fife
1 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
62%
20%
18%
51 45 6 -1
20 Jan. 2018
EAS
East Fife
0 - 1
Brora Rangers
BRO
48%
22%
30%
52 49 3 -1
13 Jan. 2018
EAS
East Fife
2 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
37%
26%
37%
51 57 6 +1