Ayr United vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
AYR
1 - 3
CEL
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
AYR
3 - 2
MHE
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
KIL
2 - 0
AYR
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
AYR
3 - 2
HIB
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
CWB
2 - 0
AIR
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
STM
2 - 0
CWB
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
CWB
0 - 2
PAR
41%
24%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
HIB
1 - 1
CWB
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
CWB
2 - 1
STJ
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |