Ayr United vs Clyde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HIB
1 - 1
AYR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 4
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
QUE
2 - 2
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 0
QUE
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Clyde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
EDI
0 - 0
CLY
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
CLY
3 - 2
STI
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CLY
1 - 2
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
STI
2 - 2
CLY
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STI
3 - 0
CLY
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |