Ayr United vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
PAR
2 - 0
AYR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
AYR
1 - 2
CWB
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1925 |
QUE
4 - 1
AYR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1925 |
AYR
4 - 0
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
AYR
2 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
CEL
1 - 1
HIB
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
MHE
1 - 0
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1925 |
CEL
3 - 1
ABE
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1925 |
CEL
7 - 0
TLA
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
AIR
3 - 1
CEL
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |