Aylesbury vs Uxbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
1 - 3
CHA
53%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
KEM
2 - 1
AYL
24%
23%
54%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
AYL
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
AYL
2 - 3
ROY
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 2
STI
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Uxbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 3
UXB
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UXB
1 - 2
AFD
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UXB
1 - 0
AYL
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
HAN
1 - 0
UXB
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
UXB
0 - 2
BEA
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |