Aylesbury vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 3
AYL
43%
26%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 1
AYL
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 0
AYL
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
1 - 3
HAN
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 2
AYL
61%
22%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BED
2 - 2
ASH
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AYL
2 - 1
BED
33%
24%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 0
BED
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BED
1 - 1
ARL
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
1 - 5
BED
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |