Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BET
1 - 0
AYL
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
AYL
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
AYL
0 - 3
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BIG
4 - 1
AYL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AYL
0 - 1
UXB
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BEA
0 - 1
AFH
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BEA
0 - 2
SLO
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
BEA
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 2
BUR
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |