Non League Div One South-East Round 18

Aylesbury vs Barton Rovers analysis

Aylesbury Barton Rovers
25 ELO 25
-0.2% Tilt -7.3%
12324º General ELO ranking 10316º
697º Country ELO ranking 524º
ELO win probability
52.8%
Aylesbury
22%
Draw
25.2%
Barton Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
Aylesbury
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.2%
Win probability
Barton Rovers
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aylesbury
+6%
-15%
Barton Rovers

ELO progression

Aylesbury
Barton Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aylesbury
Aylesbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2017
AYL
Aylesbury
2 - 2
Kempston Rovers
KEM
42%
22%
37%
26 28 2 0
14 Nov. 2017
BED
Bedford Town
4 - 1
Aylesbury
AYL
60%
21%
19%
28 31 3 -2
11 Nov. 2017
FLE
Fleet Town
2 - 0
Aylesbury
AYL
25%
24%
51%
30 21 9 -2
04 Nov. 2017
AYL
Aylesbury
1 - 1
Thame United FC
THA
54%
20%
26%
28 27 1 +2
31 Oct. 2017
HAR
Harlow Town
4 - 2
Aylesbury
AYL
63%
20%
17%
29 35 6 -1

Matches

Barton Rovers
Barton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2017
FLE
Fleet Town
1 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
36%
24%
41%
25 22 3 0
14 Nov. 2017
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 1
Thame United FC
THA
34%
22%
44%
26 29 3 -1
11 Nov. 2017
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 1
Northwood
NOR
50%
24%
26%
26 25 1 0
04 Nov. 2017
HAR
Hartley Wintney
7 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
72%
16%
13%
26 35 9 0
24 Oct. 2017
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
5 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
67%
19%
15%
27 35 8 -1