Aylesbury vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EGH
4 - 1
AYL
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AYL
1 - 3
LEI
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
AYL
0 - 1
AYL
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
AYL
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AYL
2 - 1
CIR
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AFD
2 - 1
MAR
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
AFD
55%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
THA
0 - 5
AFD
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
AFD
2 - 2
ASH
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
POT
2 - 0
AFD
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -3 |