Aylesbury United vs Welwyn Garden City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 4
AYL
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AYL
2 - 1
BED
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
STN
0 - 1
AYL
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AYL
2 - 3
NOR
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
AYL
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 2
YAX
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
WEL
4 - 1
KID
41%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 3
COL
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DAV
2 - 2
WEL
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
WEL
7 - 1
STN
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |