Ayerbe vs Gurrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AAR
0 - 2
AYE
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AYE
1 - 2
SJO
76%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POS
2 - 4
AYE
41%
22%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 4
AYE
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AYE
2 - 0
AGU
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GUR
4 - 0
ALM
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 0
MON
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 4
GUR
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GUR
4 - 2
SJO
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POS
1 - 3
GUR
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |