Ayerbe vs CD Castejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BOL
1 - 0
AYE
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AYE
1 - 1
CDM
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TEM
5 - 1
AYE
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AYE
1 - 1
BUJ
3%
8%
89%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
PES
4 - 2
AYE
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
HUE
1 - 3
CDC
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
CDC
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
GRA
55%
21%
25%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FRU
2 - 0
CDC
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
AAR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |