AWC vs t Zand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MOE
1 - 1
AWC
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AWC
1 - 4
NEM
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SCN
2 - 1
AWC
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AWC
0 - 4
GOE
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEE
3 - 0
AWC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GOE
1 - 0
TZA
64%
18%
19%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TZA
1 - 0
MOE
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TZA
2 - 2
BEE
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HVC
3 - 3
TZA
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TZA
4 - 1
SCN
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |