AWC vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TZA
1 - 1
AWC
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AWC
0 - 2
BAR
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AWC
4 - 1
BEE
23%
20%
58%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TOP
2 - 0
AWC
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TIL
1 - 3
AWC
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SCN
6 - 1
SVM
69%
16%
14%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SCN
0 - 0
TZA
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GOE
2 - 0
SCN
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 2
SCN
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOC
1 - 1
SCN
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |