AWC vs Luctor Et Emergo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HOO
0 - 1
AWC
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AWC
3 - 0
SIL
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 3
AWC
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AWC
1 - 1
GER
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAB
1 - 2
AWC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luctor Et Emergo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RIG
6 - 1
LUC
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
HOO
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SIL
0 - 1
LUC
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
4 - 0
ACH
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
LUC
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |