AWC vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
HOO
2 - 1
AWC
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RKS
1 - 2
AWC
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
AWC
0 - 4
DOS
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 2
AWC
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AWC
2 - 3
NEM
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FWO
0 - 1
RKZ
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DEM
3 - 2
FWO
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FWO
5 - 2
JOS
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
3 - 4
FWO
37%
22%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JOS
0 - 2
FWO
43%
21%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |