AWC vs Bemmel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DEZ
1 - 1
AWC
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WSV
2 - 2
AWC
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AWC
9 - 3
RWG
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TUB
6 - 0
AWC
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AWC
2 - 1
HEI
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bemmel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEM
4 - 1
WSV
79%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WOE
3 - 1
BEM
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SCN
3 - 2
BEM
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BEM
4 - 1
RWG
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BEM
2 - 0
TVC
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |