Columbia vs Tubantia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AVV
4 - 0
VOO
66%
17%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BEM
5 - 2
AVV
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAS
1 - 1
AVV
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AVV
0 - 2
SVD
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tubantia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
SVD
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
RKH
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
DEZ
2 - 1
TUB
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VOO
3 - 1
TUB
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TUB
1 - 4
DEB
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |