Avranches vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
FBB
0 - 5
AVR
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
ASN
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
AVR
62%
24%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
AVR
3 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
USF
0 - 1
AVR
14%
21%
66%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
BRE
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 4
LYO
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
REN
3 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 3
OSA
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |