National Round 11

Avranches vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis

Avranches Sporting Toulon Var
59 ELO 52
-3.9% Tilt -4%
3432º General ELO ranking 3551º
70º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Avranches
23.7%
Draw
17.2%
Sporting Toulon Var

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
Avranches
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.2%
Win probability
Sporting Toulon Var
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avranches
-18%
+30%
Sporting Toulon Var

ELO progression

Avranches
Sporting Toulon Var
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avranches
Avranches
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2019
RED
Red Star
2 - 0
Avranches
AVR
40%
28%
33%
60 57 3 0
27 Sep. 2019
AVR
Avranches
1 - 1
Béziers
BEZ
45%
26%
28%
60 59 1 0
20 Sep. 2019
QUE
QRM
0 - 1
Avranches
AVR
40%
27%
34%
59 56 3 +1
13 Sep. 2019
AVR
Avranches
2 - 1
Lyon-Duchère
LYO
35%
28%
37%
58 62 4 +1
06 Sep. 2019
CHO
Cholet
1 - 2
Avranches
AVR
45%
27%
29%
58 58 0 0

Matches

Sporting Toulon Var
Sporting Toulon Var
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2019
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
0 - 1
Concarneau
CON
39%
27%
34%
54 56 2 0
27 Sep. 2019
LUS
Creteil
1 - 1
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
60%
23%
17%
53 58 5 +1
20 Sep. 2019
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
0 - 1
Stade Lavallois
STL
34%
28%
39%
54 59 5 -1
13 Sep. 2019
VIL
Villefranche
2 - 1
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
61%
24%
15%
55 61 6 -1
06 Sep. 2019
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
0 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
26%
28%
46%
54 64 10 +1