Avranches vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
AVR
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AVR
0 - 0
SED
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 3
CAB
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
LES
2 - 1
AVR
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
AVR
3 - 2
ORL
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SPI
2 - 2
LUC
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
CON
4 - 2
SPI
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPI
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 1
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 1
AMI
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |