Avranches vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 0
USB
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ROD
0 - 1
AVR
25%
27%
47%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIL
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHO
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 0
DUN
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |