Avranches vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ORL
3 - 1
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LYO
0 - 0
AVR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 1
STA
60%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVR
0 - 2
FBB
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 0
LUS
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 1
ORL
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 0
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
STL
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 1
SÈT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |