Avranches vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
PON
0 - 2
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AVR
0 - 0
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
IVR
2 - 1
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
AVR
0 - 4
VCH
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
AVR
0 - 3
QUE
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 0
RAC
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VCH
1 - 1
CHE
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
ORL
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 3
CHE
29%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 3
SEN
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |