Avranches vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
4 - 1
QUE
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
1 - 3
ANN
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 1
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ORL
3 - 1
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LYO
0 - 0
AVR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
STL
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 1
ORL
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 0
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BAS
20%
26%
55%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
BAS
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |