Avranches U19 vs Saint Renan U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+417%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
18
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
REN
5 - 1
AVR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AVR
0 - 2
SCB
61%
20%
20%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
NAN
3 - 0
AVR
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AVR
2 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 4
AVR
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Saint Renan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SRS
0 - 2
GUI
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BER
2 - 3
SRS
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SRS
1 - 1
LAV
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
REN
2 - 1
SRS
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SRS
3 - 1
SCB
18%
19%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +3 |