Avranches U19 vs Niort U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
8º
3º
36
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LVF
0 - 1
AVR
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 2
REN
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 3
AVR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
STA
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
AVR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Niort U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NIO
2 - 1
ANG
26%
23%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 2
NIO
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 2
NIO
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NIO
6 - 0
LVF
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
REN
4 - 1
NIO
67%
17%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |