Avranches U19 vs Girondins Bordeaux U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
13º
7º
31
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
AVR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AVR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
REN
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 3
AVR
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 1
REN
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 1
CON
71%
16%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
BOR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 3
NAN
14%
21%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |