Avranches II vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
11º
40
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 0
AVR
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRQ
2 - 1
AVR
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 6
AFV
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 2
AVR
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
DIV
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 1
DIV
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
AFV
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 2
LEH
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
LEH
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 1
GRQ
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |