Avranches II vs Drouais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AVO
2 - 1
AVR
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 2
STP
15%
18%
66%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 1
BLO
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
AVR
83%
11%
7%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
EVR
0 - 0
AVR
55%
23%
23%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Drouais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DRO
0 - 1
LMU
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DRO
2 - 1
BOU
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AUB
1 - 0
DRO
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 1
DRO
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 1
UJA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |