Avondale Heights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
AVH
3 - 3
HUM
66%
20%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
STA
0 - 3
AVH
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AVH
2 - 1
DAN
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
AVH
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AVH
2 - 0
ELS
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
HUM
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
DAC
1 - 1
SOU
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |