J2 League Round 3

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock analysis

Avispa Fukuoka Mito Hollyhock
63 ELO 56
7.3% Tilt 5.4%
425º General ELO ranking 1720º
12º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Avispa Fukuoka
19.1%
Draw
11.2%
Mito Hollyhock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
Avispa Fukuoka
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.2%
Win probability
Mito Hollyhock
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avispa Fukuoka
-7%
+26%
Mito Hollyhock

ELO progression

Avispa Fukuoka
Mito Hollyhock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2009
THE
Thespa Gunma
3 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
31%
27%
42%
64 59 5 0
07 Mar. 2009
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 0
Kataller Toyama
KAT
60%
22%
18%
64 61 3 0
06 Dec. 2008
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
3 - 1
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
43%
26%
32%
63 67 4 +1
29 Nov. 2008
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
57%
23%
20%
62 67 5 +1
23 Nov. 2008
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 2
Ehime
EHI
69%
20%
12%
63 54 9 -1

Matches

Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2009
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 0
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
55%
25%
20%
54 51 3 0
08 Mar. 2009
EHI
Ehime
3 - 1
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
46%
27%
27%
55 54 1 -1
06 Dec. 2008
MON
Montedio Yamagata
1 - 0
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
66%
22%
12%
55 68 13 0
29 Nov. 2008
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
2 - 3
Yokohama
YOK
39%
28%
34%
56 60 4 -1
23 Nov. 2008
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 2
Ventforet Kofu
VEN
26%
26%
47%
56 67 11 0