Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
AVI
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AVI
0 - 1
URA
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
KYO
2 - 1
AVI
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
VEN
1 - 1
AVI
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
AVI
0 - 1
NAG
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 1
NAG
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
VEN
0 - 4
ALB
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CER
3 - 1
ALB
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 2
JUB
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |