Avion vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 2
AVI
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
DRA
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 0
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 1
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 0
SEN
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 0
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 0
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |