Avion vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 1
SEN
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 3
AVI
38%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LEH
3 - 1
AVI
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
RED
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LEH
3 - 1
LEN
44%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
QUE
3 - 2
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEN
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAB
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |