Avion vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
0 - 3
AVI
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 2
AVI
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AUB
0 - 0
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AVI
3 - 2
REI
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 1
AVI
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 0
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 1
ROY
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 1
ARR
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARR
0 - 0
SCM
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AUB
2 - 2
ARR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |