Avignon AS vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ASA
2 - 3
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
PSG
6 - 2
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 5
NIC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASA
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
LIL
4 - 2
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
MET
5 - 2
LIL
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 2
REI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
BAS
1 - 1
LIL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
LIL
3 - 3
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |