Avignon AS vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
MON
1 - 0
ASA
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1975 |
ASA
3 - 1
SOC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
NAN
4 - 0
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 0
NÎM
49%
26%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASA
74%
15%
10%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
SOC
2 - 2
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 1
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
GIR
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |