Avia B vs Calders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
AVI
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 2
NAV
65%
17%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SLM
1 - 0
AVI
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 2
SSC
65%
17%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 6
AVI
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
CAL
42%
22%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
PUI
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUI
1 - 2
CAL
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
6 - 3
VTO
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |