Aveley vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 0
AVE
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
ILF
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 3
AVE
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
HOR
5 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
TIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 1
WIV
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 5
WAR
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
RED
2 - 0
WAR
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TIL
1 - 1
WAR
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WAR
2 - 1
ENF
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |