Aveley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 4
AVE
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 0
MIL
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 1
WHI
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 3
AVE
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AVE
2 - 2
BUR
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
TIL
0 - 3
GRE
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 2
TIL
14%
17%
69%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TIL
2 - 3
MAL
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TIL
1 - 1
GRA
64%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
TIL
36%
21%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |