Aveley vs Dunstable Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 1
BAS
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
AVE
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 0
AVE
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SOH
0 - 1
AVE
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 3
COR
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
NOR
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 0
DUN
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAM
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KID
1 - 5
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |