Denmark Third Division Relegation Group Round 16

Avarta vs Næsby BK analysis

Avarta Næsby BK
48 ELO 49
1% Tilt 0.5%
5983º General ELO ranking 3512º
71º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Avarta
24.7%
Draw
37.4%
Næsby BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
Avarta
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
Næsby BK
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avarta
-40%
-9%
Næsby BK

ELO progression

Avarta
Næsby BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avarta
Avarta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2016
DAL
Dalum
3 - 0
Avarta
AVA
41%
25%
34%
49 47 2 0
05 Jun. 2016
AVA
Avarta
1 - 0
Odder
ODD
41%
24%
35%
48 49 1 +1
28 May. 2016
JAM
Jammerbugt
1 - 0
Avarta
AVA
34%
25%
41%
49 43 6 -1
22 May. 2016
AVA
Avarta
2 - 1
VSK Aarhus
SKI
51%
24%
26%
49 47 2 0
17 May. 2016
B93
B93
1 - 1
Avarta
AVA
51%
24%
26%
49 50 1 0

Matches

Næsby BK
Næsby BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2016
NAS
Næsby BK
4 - 1
Holbæk B&I
HOL
61%
21%
19%
49 46 3 0
04 Jun. 2016
SKI
VSK Aarhus
0 - 2
Næsby BK
NAS
47%
23%
30%
48 47 1 +1
28 May. 2016
NAS
Næsby BK
2 - 0
AB Tårnby
ABT
73%
17%
11%
48 37 11 0
21 May. 2016
ODD
Odder
1 - 1
Næsby BK
NAS
51%
23%
26%
47 50 3 +1
16 May. 2016
NAS
Næsby BK
1 - 1
Kolding IF
KOL
67%
19%
15%
48 38 10 -1