FNL round 10

Avangard Kursk vs Zenit II analysis

Avangard Kursk Zenit II
53 ELO 56
-8.3% Tilt -11.1%
5840º General ELO ranking 5689º
78º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
35.2%
Avangard Kursk
26.6%
Draw
38.2%
Zenit II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
Avangard Kursk
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.2%
Win probability
Zenit II
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avangard Kursk
-6%
+39%
Zenit II

ELO progression

Avangard Kursk
Zenit II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avangard Kursk
Avangard Kursk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2017
DIN
Dinamo Bryansk
0 - 1
Avangard Kursk
AVA
29%
28%
43%
52 48 4 0
19 Aug. 2017
VOL
Volgar Astrakhan
1 - 1
Avangard Kursk
AVA
67%
22%
12%
51 63 12 +1
13 Aug. 2017
AVA
Avangard Kursk
0 - 4
Yenisey
YEN
18%
25%
57%
52 67 15 -1
09 Aug. 2017
KHI
FK Khimki
1 - 1
Avangard Kursk
AVA
66%
21%
13%
52 59 7 0
05 Aug. 2017
AVA
Avangard Kursk
1 - 1
Baltika Kaliningrad
BAL
29%
30%
42%
52 61 9 0

Matches

Zenit II
Zenit II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2017
YEN
Yenisey
2 - 1
Zenit II
ZEN
63%
22%
15%
56 67 11 0
13 Aug. 2017
ZEN
Zenit II
2 - 0
Baltika Kaliningrad
BAL
46%
26%
28%
55 60 5 +1
10 Aug. 2017
SPA
Spartak Moskva II
3 - 1
Zenit II
ZEN
58%
23%
19%
56 61 5 -1
05 Aug. 2017
ZEN
Zenit II
0 - 1
Tambov
TAM
42%
26%
33%
56 62 6 0
30 Jul. 2017
GAZ
FC Orenburg
1 - 0
Zenit II
ZEN
62%
24%
14%
57 74 17 -1